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-By Jeb Postle
-A source of weather for all of New England and Eastern New York.
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Sunday, July 31, 2011

Analysis and Forecast for Monday, August 1st thru Friday, August 5th

Good Evening Everyone,

Hope Everyone enjoyed this Beautiful weather we had over the weekend.  In this post, I will raise the following questions and answer later in the post.  Will the heat build up this week? What are the chances of rain and storms this week?


Analysis

Currently, high pressure is dominant over the northeast providing us with nice weather.  There is a little disturbance  due to a low across the mid atlantic. This is causing a few isolated showers and storms in the mid atlantic region. This should move out to sea.   There is a cold front across Northern Wisconsin and the upper Peninsula of Michigan.  This front will move east through the day tomorrow providing a chance of showers and storms.  Some storms could be severe.  For the remainder of the week, the jet stream will be positioned over us sending in some disturbances.  There will be a threat of showers and storms across the region as the warm air mass across much of the country tries to move into the region.  A cold front will move the region tomorrow.

Tomorrow
Dry start to the day with sun and clouds.  Clouds building late morning into afternoon.  Scattered shower and storms developing in the afternoon and evening.  Greatest threat of showers and storms is across Northern New England.  Some storms could be severe.  High temperatures in the  70s and 80s across Northern New England, 80s to near 90 across Southern New England and Eastern New York.  Local Sea Breeze possible along South Coastal New England.  Winds from the west-northwest at 5-10 mph with higher gusts possible. Low temperatures in the 50s and 60s to near 70 across the region.  Winds from the west-northwest at 10-20 mph.

Tuesday
Patchy fog in the morning.  Sun and clouds with isolated showers and storms across Southern New England and Eastern New York.  Clouds and a few breaks of sun with scattered showers and storms across Northern New England.   High temperatures in the 60s and 70s across Northern New England, 70s and 80s across Eastern New York and Southern New England.  Winds from the west-northwest at 5-10 mph with higher gusts possible.  Low temperatures in the 50s and 60s across the region.  Northernly winds changing to winds from the south-southwest at 5-10 mph.

Wednesday
Sun and clouds in the morning for most with the exception of Northern Maine where a shower is possible.   Clouds developing late morning and afternoon.  Isolated showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening .  The greatest threat of showers and storms looks to be across parts of Eastern NY, Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Southeast Massachusetts.  High temperatures in the 60s and 70s across Northern New England, 70s to near 80s across Southern New England and Eastern New York.  Winds from the west-southwest at 3-5 mph with higher gusts possible.  Local sea breeze possible along the coast of Maine and coastal Southern New England.  Low temperatures in the 50s and 60s. Winds from the west-southwest at 5-10 mph with higher gusts possible.

Thursday
Scattered morning showers and storms , especially across parts of Southern New England and Eastern New York.    Breaks of sun and clouds with isolated showers and storms in the afternoon and evening.   The greatest threat of showers and storms will be across Northern New England.  High temperatures in the 70s and 80s across the region.   Local sea breeze is possible along the coast.  Winds from the west-southwest at 5-10 mph with higher gusts possible.   Low temperatures in the 60s and 70s across the region.  Winds from the west-southwest at 5-10 mph changing to northernly winds.

Friday
Patchy fog in the morning.  Sun and clouds with isolated showers and storms in the afternoon and evening.  High temperatures in the 70s and 80s. Local Sea breeze possible along the coast.  Winds from the south-southwest at 5-10 mph with higher gusts possible.   Low temperatures in the 50s and 60s.   Southernly winds of 5-10 mph.


-Unisys Weather
-GFS Model
-NAM Model
-EURO Model

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