Welcome to the Rain or Shine Weather Blog

-By Jeb Postle
-A source of weather for all of New England and Eastern New York.
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Sunday, August 21, 2011

Eye on the Tropics

Good Evening

Latest on Tropical Storm Irene


      I hope everyone is able to dodge the showers and storms that are currently occurring across the region.  We have some action brewing in the tropics.  Currently, there is a tropical storm named Irene that formed over the last 24 hours in the western Atlantic.  The storm has max sustained winds of 50 mph.   It is currently southwest of Puerto Rico,  and is moving to the west-northwest at 17 mph.   It is expected to make landfall in Puerto Rico this evening.  The storm is expected to gain strength and could reach hurricane strength within the next day.  The storm will make landfall in Puerto Rico this evening and overnight.  Afterward, it will head toward the Dominican Republic by tomorrow afternoon.  The storm will head between the Bahamas and Cuba on the days Tuesday and Wednesday.  Afterward, the storm could threaten Florida by Thursday afternoon and evening.

Latest Trend from the Computer Models
    
      More than half the latest computer model trends have the storm moving to the north-northeast and remaining offshore of Florida.  However, those models have the storm making landfall somewhere along the Carolinas by this time next weekend.     A few of the models have the storm moving more to the west toward the Gulf of Mexico. This scenario would weaken the storm due to more landfalls over the islands of Hispaniola and Cuba.
  
     Always remember, the track and intensity of the storm can change dramatically due to the environment surrounding the storm...

     However, anyone living along the east coast, and Gulf coast of the United States needs to monitor the progress of this storm.  I will keep you posted as the storm gets closer to the United States.

  Here are some links to track the storm...
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at201109_model.html?MR=1

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?5-daynl#contents


-NHC
-Weather Underground

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